Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
97 Belmont 0.0%   21 - 6 15 - 1 21 - 6 15 - 1 +4.6      +3.8 73 +0.9 144 68.4 159 +7.1 76 +11.4 1
176 Jacksonville St. 100.0%   16   18 - 14 9 - 7 18 - 14 9 - 7 -0.6      -0.2 173 -0.4 184 59.7 331 -0.3 166 -1.9 4
183 Tennessee St. 0.0%   15 - 13 8 - 8 15 - 13 8 - 8 -0.8      -3.2 252 +2.4 101 64.6 254 -0.8 176 -3.5 7
202 Murray St. 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 8 14 - 17 8 - 8 -2.3      +1.3 133 -3.6 269 69.2 129 -4.0 229 -4.4 8
203 Morehead St. 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 6 12 - 16 10 - 6 -2.4      +0.7 151 -3.1 254 70.3 108 -2.7 211 0.0 2
211 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 6 19 - 12 10 - 6 -3.1      +0.9 147 -3.9 283 68.1 164 0.0 160 -1.3 3
225 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   12 - 15 6 - 10 12 - 15 6 - 10 -4.1      -3.6 263 -0.4 186 69.1 136 -4.6 239 -7.2 10
230 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 7 13 - 18 9 - 7 -4.4      -0.9 193 -3.4 264 68.4 160 -5.4 245 -2.7 5
259 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 8 10 - 20 8 - 8 -5.6      -4.2 277 -1.4 208 68.5 154 -7.3 275 -2.8 6
273 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   10 - 19 5 - 11 10 - 19 5 - 11 -6.8      -4.3 280 -2.5 244 66.5 215 -5.9 250 -7.5 11
288 Austin Peay 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 9 9 - 19 7 - 9 -8.0      +0.6 152 -8.6 341 72.4 68 -6.2 254 -5.1 9
313 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   5 - 23 1 - 15 5 - 23 1 - 15 -10.2      -6.6 321 -3.6 271 69.2 132 -11.6 325 -18.8 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 4.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 6.0 100.0
Murray St. 6.0 100.0
Morehead St. 2.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 2.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 10.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 4.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 6.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 11.0 100.0
Austin Peay 9.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Belmont 15 - 1 100.0
Jacksonville St. 9 - 7 100.0
Tennessee St. 8 - 8 100.0
Murray St. 8 - 8 100.0
Morehead St. 10 - 6 100.0
Tennessee Martin 10 - 6 100.0
Eastern Illinois 6 - 10 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 9 - 7 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8 - 8 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 5 - 11 100.0
Austin Peay 7 - 9 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Jacksonville St.
Tennessee St.
Murray St.
Morehead St.
Tennessee Martin
Eastern Illinois
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Tech
Eastern Kentucky
Austin Peay
SIU Edwardsville


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 12.2 87.8
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 100.0% 59.6% 73.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 73.9% 0.7 26.1 73.9
2nd Round 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0